Data HQ — Deep Dive 01

The Draft

August 10, 2025. Twelve managers, sixteen rounds — where the season began. Alon took Mohamed Salah first overall — and watched him return less than the round-one average. The pick that defined the season went fifth: Thato drafted Bruno Fernandes, the eventual League MVP, then traded him to Gabe by GW4. Alexander Isak went seventh and delivered the draft's biggest bust. Every one of the 192 picks, graded below.

The Receipts
All 192 Picks, Graded

Columns follow round-one draft order; even rounds snaked back the other way. Every pick is graded with the benefit of hindsight — full-season returns, not how it looked on the night. Cells are tinted by season FPts versus the average of the pick's round: green beat the round, red fell short. Hover for the full line.

Beat round avg Below round avg Tint intensity = size of the gap
The Cliff

Heists and Write-offs

Measured as season FPts above or below the average return of the round the player was taken in. Bruno Fernandes out-earned his round by 346.7 points — and didn't finish the season with the manager who drafted him.

The Steals + VS ROUND

The Busts − VS ROUND

Where the Value Came From

Full-season output of every player a manager drafted, wherever those points were eventually scored — trades and drops don't reduce credit here (Thato still gets Bruno's 678 in this view). Split: early rounds (1–4) vs late (9–16). The Report Card below adds the stricter kept-for-team measure.

Twelve Draft Classes

Two measures, deliberately different. Draft haul counts a drafted player's full season, wherever it was scored. Kept for team counts only the points drafted players scored in the manager's starting lineup while still on his roster (bench points excluded) — and share of output is that as a slice of the team's season (the rest arrived by waiver or trade).